90 days rolling
Scoring window
automatic
Reset on atom edit
Spectare holds every variant's conversion rate as a confidence interval rather than a single number, and names a winner only when the interval clears the runner-up completely. The intervals are built to stay valid under constant watching, so refreshing the dashboard a hundred times cannot manufacture a winner. That has been true for a while. What is new is that the evidence is now windowed per edit: when you change an atom, the conversion count for every arrangement containing it resets, and the changed page re-proves itself from scratch before any verdict is issued.
This matters because a headline that performed well in March is not guaranteed to perform well after you rewrite it in June. The old count would have carried over, blending pre-edit and post-edit performance into a single rate that reflects neither version accurately. Now the evidence restarts cleanly, and your analytics show a clear not-yet rather than a stale winner.
The same discipline applies to rule suggestions. When the evidence supports a change to your targeting rules or an atom's audience assignment, Spectare shows you the with-and-without numbers and waits for your confirmation before applying anything. The accepted change then re-proves itself from scratch under the same windowed counting.
For organisations running a holdout, lift against the live control is also held to this standard. No lift number is quoted until the interval clears zero, and the holdout itself is opt-in per workspace. The result is a confidence page where every number shown is one you can defend: a statistically real winner, or an honest not-yet, nothing in between.
This is one atom from the Spectare content library. Spectare assembles the right atoms for each visitor in real time, based on who they are and how they arrived.